A North Korea Without Nukes?!
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This was the biggest week of the greatest meeting of the most awesome President meeting the little rocket man of North Korea. (trying to emulate the president here). So this post will be a little bit of an analysis of the meeting, future expectations, the reactions to the meeting and a brief profile Kim Jung Un himself. Firstly the meting in of itself is nothing more than an opening dialogue. The meeting itself didn’t result in anything rather important, other than it being an actual meeting. That said it was a beneficial thing overall, the meeting that is. We believe this meeting is the first of many to a more peaceful world. Nothing great but nothing bad and at least on the “better” side of the scale.
We will say it here now, North Korea will not give up their nukes. The only reason they were even able to get a meeting and a seat at the big boy’s table is because they have the bomb. No way will they give that up now. Especially when we look at the last leader that did give up his nuke program, Muammar Gaddafi. Once he gave his nuke program up it was “game on”. Only a few years later NATO was bombing his country, leading to the overthrow Gaddafi and subsequently being murdered in a ditch. Kim doesn’t want the same to happen to him we reckon. There is no reason now for North Korea to give up the bomb. They may stop developing them but to give them up, not gonna happen. The North Korean nuclear program is the one thing keeping their enemies at bay and Kim in power. The weapons aren’t going anywhere; this is something we need to understand. Although NOT an advocation of the use of force to end the North Korean nuclear program, but the only way it will end completely is through the use of force.
The media’s reaction is expected but somehow still surprising. Of course, those media outlets on the “right” see it as the greatest accomplishment to ever happen in the history of the United States. Those media outlets on the “left” are not just saying it was waste of time but some are saying it was actually damaging, somehow validating Kim and harming the United States. Kim has been the leader of that nation regardless if we like it or not; he doesn’t need our validation for that fact to remain true.
Kim’s actions in the past have been simply evil for a lack of a better word; but this is what one of the roads to peace looks like, it starts with handshakes and meetings. The other road to “peace” involves violence. This meeting, is a good start, but let’s not be fooled that it is the best event to happen, ever. Could this meeting lead to a more peaceful world? Possibly, and just for that reason we should take note as people that value liberty and peace. Here we are hopeful that this leads to a more peaceful planet with a more open and liberal North Korea. A lot of work needs to be done, this much is true. We think here that the expected outcomes of this initial meeting were kept to a minimum intentionally. It seems every time the United States goes to a summit with huge expectations we usually get hammered. Two examples come to mind: The Yalta Conference of ‘44, where Roosevelt essentially gave up all of eastern Europe to the Soviet Union in a post WWII world and The Vienna Summit of ‘61, where Kennedy appeared so weak to Khrushchev that the Soviet Union felt they could get away with putting nuclear weapons in Cuba with little to no push back from the United States, come to mind, where the United States got hammered. This meeting might have been an effort to avoid a similar outcome.
As for Kim Jung Un himself, he simply isn’t the idiot the west portrays him to be. He might come across as foolish and the country he rules as weak, but we feel he is far more intelligent than we are lead to believe. For those that remember when Kim took power in late 2011 he went on a purge of many of the old stock generals, ever to include his uncle, killing him by a firing squad with an anti aircraft weapon if reports are to be believed. Many in the west, ourselves included, saw this as par for the course. It is right out of the “new dictator taking power play book”. We have seen it for centuries all throughout history. But now with the added benefit of hindsight we are starting to think that this purge was more than just a way to show people who was boss but to actually get certain elements out of the way within the country so the Kim could forge his own path. This is not to say that all the killings if any were necessary but it seems now that to Kim at least they were. In Kim’s estimation he might have felt these purges were necessary to get a meeting with President Trump. This is speculation of course and just food for thought if you will but currently this is the way we are leaning here at CBL.
To wrap it all up, we don’t believe that North Korea will give up the bomb now that they have it. We do believe though, or at least want to believe, that this is the beginning of the long journey towards a more liberal North Korea with a more peaceful relationship between North Korea and the rest of the world.
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LWS
